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Nike Inc. (NKE) Moat and Fair Value

Last Updated:

Oct 28, 2024

Moat Rating:

Wide

Fair Price:

$106

Overview

Nike is a globally recognized leader in designing, marketing, and distributing athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories. Founded in 1964, Nike has consistently leveraged its robust marketing strategies, endorsements from top athletes, sponsorship of leading sports clubs, and cutting-edge technology to maintain its leading position in the sportswear industry.

Recent Performance

Moat Analysis

Nike's moat can be assessed based on several key factors:

  • Brand Strength: Nike is one of the most valuable brands globally, with a strong presence across multiple sports and a robust endorsement roster that includes top athletes and teams. This brand strength translates into significant pricing power and customer loyalty.

  • Innovation and R&D: Nike continually invests in innovation, leading to advanced product lines that meet the evolving needs of athletes. This includes technologies like Nike Air, Flyknit, and Dri-FIT.

  • Global Distribution Network: Nike has a well-established global distribution network, including owned stores, digital platforms, and wholesale partners. This network ensures broad market reach and efficient product delivery.

  • Economies of Scale: As one of the largest players in the athletic footwear and apparel industry, Nike benefits from significant economies of scale, allowing for cost advantages in production and marketing.

  • Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Strategy: Nike's increasing focus on DTC channels, particularly through its digital platforms, enhances margins and provides direct customer engagement, improving overall profitability.

Financial Analysis

Let's delve into Nike's financials to assess its current performance and determine a fair value for its stock.

  • Revenue Growth: Nike has consistently grown consistently over the past decade, driven by strong brand demand and expansion into new markets.

  • Gross Margin: Nike maintains high gross margins due to its strong brand positioning and ability to price products at a premium.

  • Operating Margin: Efficient cost management and economies of scale contribute to healthy operating margins.


Key Financial Metrics (FY2023 comparison with FY2022):

  • Revenue: $51.2 billion (9.6% growth)

  • Gross Margin: 45% (Increase of 0.2 percentage points)

  • Operating Margin: 12.5% (Increase of 0.7 percentage points)

  • Net Income: $5.3 billion (12.8% growth)

  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.40 (17.2% growth)

Risk To Consider

Outlook

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